The title could easily be talking about me, as its been several weeks since I have posted. However, tonight's posting is regarding the news that Padres catcher Nick Hundley has been optioned to AAA. Honestly, there should only be one reason that such a move comes as a surprise. That is you might be surprised Hundley still had options. Baseball people that I've asked have told me he's out of options, so I have been waiting for that "injury" so Hundley could get things worked out. Let's face it. He's hitting worse than 1 for 6. For a starting catcher with a new $9 million extension, that's just not cutting it. I want to make one thing clear. I do like Nick Hundley as a catcher and thought he was worthy of the extension that he signed. I truly hope and believe he will get his offensive woes worked out. As Bob Scanlan addressed in his blogpost about this news earlier tonight, Hundley is at a point where its simply not helpful to him or the team to contine to play at this level.
I've heard the argument that Hundley's defense makes him the best catcher on the Padres. I agree that Hundley's defense has been superb. Unfortunately, his offense is soooo bad~How bad is it? It's so bad that it completely wipes out any defensive advantage he has. I believe Hundley has much more talent than Baker. However, this year, Baker has been ...average. Not terrible. Average. What one would expect from a backup catcher. But when your backup catcher is outplaying your starting catcher, and make no mistake, he IS outplaying Hundley, it's not a good thing. Don't believe me that Baker has outplayed Hundley? Let's just compare the stats, courtesy of fangraphs. Hundley has been 3.9 Runs BELOW replacement as a catcher, which lands him dead last among all major league catchers. All of them. Every single one. Including Baker, since you can't be worse than last, but if you need to see it, fine Baker is 3.0 Runs ABOVE Replacement level, or average.
If you're still believing that Hundley should not have been sent down, I really have no idea what else to tell you. I can point to the several metrics that show his lack of offense is completely dismantling his defense. I can point to the stats that show his plate discipline is the worst it has been in his career, and his swinging strike percentage is significantly higher than in the past. This is a guy that's completely lost at the plate, and his defense can't keep him afloat. But he has the talent. So lets welcome Yazmani Grandal, and wish Mr. Hundley the best of luck and hope he finds his bat, and soon. And let his play actually show he's truly a better player, not just what we may hope and believe to be to be the case against all evidence.
Saturday, June 30, 2012
Sunday, May 27, 2012
Why the Hate?
"He sucks. He's terrible. I hate when he's playing. I can't stand him." Any or all of this quote can be attributed to many fans of the Padres this year in regards to a number of players. With a season approaching the vacuum that is the Black Hole of Suck and Ineptitude, it could be fair to say it of any or all players. I keep believing that the season will get better, but I must admit, I'm questioning that belief. Losing really does suck. To compound that problem, is when you see the opening quote to this blog post about almost any player being repeated ad nauseum in message boards and on twitter. One player in particular who I've seen almost universally scorned has been today's starting pitcher, Edinson Volquez.
I'm not the biggest Volquez fan. Some might not believe that, as I have defended him from criticism's on many occasions. My problem is, that for this season, much of that criticism has been based on a perception that might not be the same as reality. Does Volquez walk too many people? Absolutely. But would you believe that at 4.7 BB/9 entering today's game, he has his lowest walk rate since 2008? He gives up a lot of HR!! Actually he doesn't, giving up 0.5 HR/9 IP. He strikes out 7.6 per 9 IP, which, like his walks, is his lowest since 2008. Volquez has a 3.49 ERA, a 3.59 FIP, and an xFIP of 4.15 which is the low end of average. In other words, he doesn't really suck..he's just ...average.
I've come to believe that a big reason many fans don't like him, is because of how the Padres acquired him. Many fans were sad to see Mat Latos traded. Count me among them. I don't have direct evidence of it, but I'm getting a feel that people don't like Volquez because he's not Mat. IT reminds them of the "stupid decision" to trade away Latos. Well, like I said, I was sad to see Mat traded. But when I take an honest look at the return, I'd be more upset if I found out Byrnes didn't make the trade. Especially when you compare Latos to Volquez straight up, and don't even factor in the emergence of Yonder Alonso as a legitimate hitter, Grandal waiting in AAA and Boxberger, whom I must admit, I still don't know much about.
Latos- 4.35 ERA, 3.83 BB/9 8.36 K/9 1.05 HR/9 3.99 FIP and 4.23 xFIP
Volquez has thrown more innings this season and has a slightly better xFIP, and is outpacing by 1/2 a run better in FIP, and more than 1/2 a run better in ERA. Are Volquez stats sustainable? maybe not. He has a lower than league average BABIP, that could start driving his ERA higher should that regress. But as for now, Volquez isn't the WORST PLAYER EVER. He's not even pitching worse than whom he was traded for.
So can we tone back the hate on him, or at least explain rationally why he's hated so much?
I'm not the biggest Volquez fan. Some might not believe that, as I have defended him from criticism's on many occasions. My problem is, that for this season, much of that criticism has been based on a perception that might not be the same as reality. Does Volquez walk too many people? Absolutely. But would you believe that at 4.7 BB/9 entering today's game, he has his lowest walk rate since 2008? He gives up a lot of HR!! Actually he doesn't, giving up 0.5 HR/9 IP. He strikes out 7.6 per 9 IP, which, like his walks, is his lowest since 2008. Volquez has a 3.49 ERA, a 3.59 FIP, and an xFIP of 4.15 which is the low end of average. In other words, he doesn't really suck..he's just ...average.
I've come to believe that a big reason many fans don't like him, is because of how the Padres acquired him. Many fans were sad to see Mat Latos traded. Count me among them. I don't have direct evidence of it, but I'm getting a feel that people don't like Volquez because he's not Mat. IT reminds them of the "stupid decision" to trade away Latos. Well, like I said, I was sad to see Mat traded. But when I take an honest look at the return, I'd be more upset if I found out Byrnes didn't make the trade. Especially when you compare Latos to Volquez straight up, and don't even factor in the emergence of Yonder Alonso as a legitimate hitter, Grandal waiting in AAA and Boxberger, whom I must admit, I still don't know much about.
Latos- 4.35 ERA, 3.83 BB/9 8.36 K/9 1.05 HR/9 3.99 FIP and 4.23 xFIP
Volquez has thrown more innings this season and has a slightly better xFIP, and is outpacing by 1/2 a run better in FIP, and more than 1/2 a run better in ERA. Are Volquez stats sustainable? maybe not. He has a lower than league average BABIP, that could start driving his ERA higher should that regress. But as for now, Volquez isn't the WORST PLAYER EVER. He's not even pitching worse than whom he was traded for.
So can we tone back the hate on him, or at least explain rationally why he's hated so much?
Wednesday, May 23, 2012
SOTTJ Continues, and other thoughts
As most of my readers probably know, I was part of the "Sisterhood of the Traveling Jersey." In my post regarding my first Padres trip of the season, I included pictures with the then current Jersey Holder, GLBer "padscharg". Today, "padscharg" wrote his SOTTJ Post, in which I was compared, in good nature, to the Lord of the Rings characters Bilbo and Gollum. Given how much I love those novels and movies, I thought it was a great comparison. Well Played, man, well played.
I don't want to take away from anyone's moment with the Jersey though, believe it or not, I really do wish to promote the project as a whole. It is an amazing idea and concept and has taken off to levels I never imagined. So go read his post if you haven't done so already, be sure to Rec him, and leave comments. And if you're not signed up and want to be, let jbox know you're interested. You never now.
I don't want to take away from anyone's moment with the Jersey though, believe it or not, I really do wish to promote the project as a whole. It is an amazing idea and concept and has taken off to levels I never imagined. So go read his post if you haven't done so already, be sure to Rec him, and leave comments. And if you're not signed up and want to be, let jbox know you're interested. You never now.
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In today's game, the Padres fell short again, despite remaining tied up until the 5th inning or so. The same old story really- Plenty of unrealized chances. No wonder this is my team- They waste opportunities like I have in life. (Don't read too much into that- It's more of a past tense thing for me). Postives? Venable nearly had a Cycle again. Not sure if AvengingJM could have handled it if Venable had been successful. Cabrera got hits 1 and 2 of the season. I'm not sold on him being the answer, but, hey it'd be nice
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In Minor League action, I'm hearing that Forsythe is raking, and the T-Pads, consisting largely of last years AA Missions (with Cody Decker being the most recent promoted player) seem to be doing well. This gives me hope for the future. The guys playing now have been winning on every level. I'm believing in the future!
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I'm in the midst of making plans for the weekend of June 2-3. If I had a couch to crash on, or even good close friends or family, it'd be all 3 days, but looks like I'm hoteling it and to avoid total team broke, its just 1 night and two games. Have a couple people I'm joining for sunday's games, and making plans for Saturday's too, and would love to hang out with anyone up for it Saturday night. Especially if you have a cheap place to crash, or a windowless van lol! Also, if you have decent tickets you're looking to unload for either game (2 for Sat, 3 for Sun) let me know. I may be interested! A shot in the dark, I know, but I've got to try right?
Tuesday, May 22, 2012
Neglect
I've neglected this blog far too long. The last time I wrote, or "wrute" Hudson was a Padre, Bartlett was "healthy" and I was just coming off a whirlwind trip to San Diego. Well, some things don't change. I got to take another trip to America's Finest City on Saturday, in a very whirlwind fashion. After the Preakness Stakes horse race, which "I'll have another" won, I decided, a trip to San Diego? Why, I'll have another indeed. I decided to go, and figure out tickets later. Fortunately, I was hooked up with one within seconds of deciding to go. It was a great seat, and it was A seat, as the game was sold out. I basically flew to San Diego. Not a lot of pictures, and this is just intended to be a quit blog to get the writing juices flowing. I've felt neglected lately. I probably have zero reason to feel that way. I realize this world isn't about me. I've been neglecting to write here, so there's an ironic lesson. I believe every writer who desires a strong audience has a narcissistic streak in them. It comes with the territory. That includes me in a large way. This post has no real point, no real flow, not even much about baseball. It is what it is. Just like the Padres Season this year. Why do you expect me to be good at writing? Why do we expect the Padres to be good at baseball? Well, maybe you don't expect me to be good. And maybe you don't expect the Padres to be good either. Can't say I blame you on either count....
Thursday, May 10, 2012
Light a match, and watch the bridges burn
The San Diego Padres baseball team may have the best pitching staff on the DL. Stauffer (who's due back soon) Luebke, Moseley, Owings, and now Joe Wieland. I'm glad they didn't say "only expected to miss one start" and put him on the DL right away. That actually gives me hope we might see him again soon. Every other pitcher who has been reported as being likely to just miss a start has had a significant long term injury. So, rest up Joe, and get back here.
There has been some speculation that Josh Byrnes has been so busy dealing with injuries to the Padres, particularly at pitcher, that he hasn't had time to think about getting rid of Bartlett. I'm of the mind that if Andy Parrino was playing better, Bartlett would be gone by now. I know its beating a dead horse to keep asking for his release. So my next question is, why is he still here? The answer? no other options and I think the team may be afraid of burning that bridge before they have too. But they are approaching the point of no return with Bartlett, namely the vesting option based on plate appearances. Too bad its not based on At Bats, since sacrifices (which is all he seems to do anymore) don't count.
Kind of a weird stretch here. Day game Wednesday that I didn't get to see or pay attention to, followed by an off day tomorrow, makes for about 69 hours between watching the Padres. Coming home tonight, I was struck by how much baseball does consume my life. I had no plans, and no one to talk with. Pretty boring lifestyle I lead. Maybe I should have started writing, but I wasn't particularly in the mood. Oh well. Its here now. Until next time, KTF
Wednesday, May 9, 2012
I am not a good writer
Im really not. And it will be made harder by the fact that my Y key on my keyboard is sticking/broken. That last sentence took me a long time to write. I'm not the smartest person. I don't have any recognizable profitable talents. I like to think I have a big heart, but I know I'm short with people sometimes, and don't always treat them the way I would like to be. I don't know where this is going. I'm not even sure I can tie it to baseball. Sometimes, I may venture outside of baseball, and word vomit. Four years ago today (and we'll call Tuesday today, although its technically wednesday) I gave the most difficult speech of my life, when I spoke at my Grandpas funeral. I did as I've always done when giving speeches- I spoke extemporaneously. I don't like to write out my speeches. I prepare, yes. I may jot important keynotes, and I'll research important quotes or facts. But mostly, I like to speak from the heart. My writing isn't the best, because, its not as formal as its "supposed" to be. I make several grammar errors that I know would make certain copy editors scream. What you will get from me, though, are words from the heart. And sometimes that means baseball isn't the central theme. Sometimes theres no theme at all. Some days I'm going to my computer, with less of a clue on what to do than Jason Bartlett does with a bat in his hands. Because baseball is such a passion of mine, most of my thoughts do eventually turn back there. I don't know what I would do if it wasn't for this great game. I hate the thought of no baseball in my life. But my life isn't centered on it. I have many interests. I love the Lord of the Rings. I like cooking, even though I'm not always good at it. I can listen to music from Eminem, to Garth Brooks, to Mozart, but give me 50s rock and I'm just as, if not more happy. Speaking of Music, To those that are going to Wednesday's game- I'm jealous. Bobby Cressey is on the organ, its Tony Gwynn's birthday, and I will miss it all. Work beckons. It's late. I'm not even going to tweet out this post tonight, so I'll be surprised if anyone reads this. If you do, let me know you did. And Thank you, in advance.
I hope I have something of significance tomorrow.
I hope I have something of significance tomorrow.
Monday, May 7, 2012
Something strange going on
Either my last post regarding my visit to Petco was really well read, or Blogger is lying about how many read. If that many of you really did read, thank you. I had more page views on that than any other post, by far. UPDATE: After Posting this, I saw that Gaslampball promoted me...twice. Once in a fanshot, the other in their amazing as always stories in regards to their experiences from Fridays game which I met them. Dex and Jbox are seriously awesome. I also want to thank Friarhood for including me in their daily roundup, and GhostofRAK, RJsFro, and several others whom I know have retweeted my posts. You guys seriously rock for that. I never imagined I would be having so many people read or pass along to read my #wruting.
The other strange thing is, hey, the Padres won!!! They didn't need a come back to do so, and the bullpen did its job well. Brad Brach's stuff was filthy. His strikeout in the bottom of the sixth was one of the best looking pitches I've seen and it was good to see him throwing strikes in the seventh-- and getting to face multiple batters.
There was some talk tonight about Volquez hitting a wall and staying one batter to long. I agree, he was in perhaps a tad to long, but honestly, I can't say I would have played it differently. He struggled a bit in the third inning but then mowed through the Rockies lineup in the 4th and 5th innings. In the 6th he seemed to hit that wall again. Here's where many would take him out, but when I asked the question on twitter "Who would you trust to replace him" I didn't get a consensus answer other than "Good Point" It's not that the bullpen has been bad. In fact, they have been , on the whole, pretty good with the 4th best ERA, and second in Batting average against. Its just that none of them have been guaranteed lock down. Given the number of innings and the lack of health on the staff, I was hoping, as I'm sure Black was, that Volquez could finish the inning and not have to use the pen yet. But alas, before Brach's appearance, Joe Thatcher came in as the LOOGY and got Helton out.
Ah, the role of the LOOGY. Pitch to one guy and call it a day. I know it exists in baseball, but sometimes I wish it didn't. It would be nice to not burn guys like that, especially given our lack of depth in the pen, and the inordinate number of innings (4th most in the NL) the Padres have thrown, it would be a good idea not to waste an arm on one pitch. But, I don't get paid the modest salary to manage a team. Nor have I spent my entire life in baseball, so I might be missing something completely.
I guess I shouldn't complain. The Padres won, and on Jeremy Nash's birthday. Happy Birthday Jeremy!
The other strange thing is, hey, the Padres won!!! They didn't need a come back to do so, and the bullpen did its job well. Brad Brach's stuff was filthy. His strikeout in the bottom of the sixth was one of the best looking pitches I've seen and it was good to see him throwing strikes in the seventh-- and getting to face multiple batters.
There was some talk tonight about Volquez hitting a wall and staying one batter to long. I agree, he was in perhaps a tad to long, but honestly, I can't say I would have played it differently. He struggled a bit in the third inning but then mowed through the Rockies lineup in the 4th and 5th innings. In the 6th he seemed to hit that wall again. Here's where many would take him out, but when I asked the question on twitter "Who would you trust to replace him" I didn't get a consensus answer other than "Good Point" It's not that the bullpen has been bad. In fact, they have been , on the whole, pretty good with the 4th best ERA, and second in Batting average against. Its just that none of them have been guaranteed lock down. Given the number of innings and the lack of health on the staff, I was hoping, as I'm sure Black was, that Volquez could finish the inning and not have to use the pen yet. But alas, before Brach's appearance, Joe Thatcher came in as the LOOGY and got Helton out.
Ah, the role of the LOOGY. Pitch to one guy and call it a day. I know it exists in baseball, but sometimes I wish it didn't. It would be nice to not burn guys like that, especially given our lack of depth in the pen, and the inordinate number of innings (4th most in the NL) the Padres have thrown, it would be a good idea not to waste an arm on one pitch. But, I don't get paid the modest salary to manage a team. Nor have I spent my entire life in baseball, so I might be missing something completely.
I guess I shouldn't complain. The Padres won, and on Jeremy Nash's birthday. Happy Birthday Jeremy!
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